Mateus Alves vs Dmitry Popko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent form, Mateus Alves has a slightly better second serve performance, winning 46.42% of points compared to Dmitry Popko's 44.96%.
• Conversely, Dmitry Popko excels in return games, winning 47.36% of his opponents' second serve points, while Mateus Alves manages 42.76%.
• How do their first serve returns compare? Popko leads again with 24.94% compared to Alves's 22.97%.
• When under pressure, Alves shows stronger resilience by saving 52.67% of breakpoints, whereas Popko saves 44.20%.
• Total match wins in the past year lean slightly toward Alves with 49.09% (27/28) as compared to Popko's 45.28% (24/29).
• Surface preference shows Popko at his best on Clay with a 64% win rate, whereas Alves favors Hard courts with the same win percentage.
• Their experience level is comparable, predominantly participating in Challengers/ITF tournaments where Popko wins 48.72% and Alves wins 46.15% of matches.
• Can past encounters give insight? In their sole head-to-head match, Popko emerged victorious, winning 2 sets to 1.
• Opposition strength favors Popko slightly, having faced opponents with an average ranking of 251.81 compared to Alves's 291.56.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Popko has the edge with a 47% win rate over the last year, outperforming Alves's 41%.
• In recent events, Alves demonstrates more efficacy in converting break points, boasting a 33.33% conversion rate against Popko's 27.52%.

Editorial Prediction (November 17, 2025, UTC):

As both players prepare to face off, recent trends highlight Mateus Alves's superior second serve performance, which could prove influential in maintaining his service games under pressure.

Dmitry Popko, however, showcases strength in return games, especially with higher success percentages in both first and second serve returns. This implies that Popko may have more opportunities to break serve.

Their comparative experiences at Challenger/ITF levels indicate Popko has faced slightly tougher competition with a marginally better win-loss ratio. Also, his success in past matches against Alves could provide a psychological advantage.

Alves's proven ability to convert break points more effectively than Popko adds a critical dimension to his strategy, potentially capitalizing on any opening.

Taking into account all statistical edges and historical data, Dmitry Popko appears to be the favorite to win the upcoming tennis match.